1) US Department of Justice have filed a legal suit against people associated with the Prime Minister. There is implied reference to the Prime Minister being the king pin. Yet, back in Malaysia, it took a few months before they acknowledge that, and the Prime Minister's sycophants are now using the argument that "no, the US suit is a civil suit, not a criminal suit, and the PM was not identified, so why is he culpable?" Of course that's a load of gunk because the suit made it clear that MO1 had all the relevant authorrity and power to authorise the illicit activities undertaken by the scapegoat board. Who benefited if not his son in law? Also, the Arabian donation defence have been totally debunked, yet not a word from the PM. In an ordinary democracy, when a national leader is implicated (even impliedly so) in a civil suit that has its genesis in an international money laundering criminal investigation, there is no question of stepping down. Only in Malaysia can this be whitewashed. And why? Because simply put, we are no longer a functioning democracy. So the DOJ suit was a good start, but nothing changes in Malaysia. At least not yet, and perhaps likely never will. Rule of law has been soundly beaten in Malaysia. And it will remain so until, if ever, we have a change of federal government.
2) The opposition received a sound thrashing in twin by-elections coming after a sound thrashing in Sarawak state elections. We can always blame the power of incumbent in any by-elections - pouring in promises, money, gifts and threats to a small population inundated with daily visits by national political celebrities. The argument goes that in a general election, BN wouldn't have that big a piece of pie (and therefore handouts) to give, so they can only bribe to a small extent. But this view offers little comfort because you have a corrupt PM, yet 1MDB scandal did not make a dent at all. Do we blame greedy stupid rural folks who can't tell between good and evil? I think they could well be, but they are also sending a message to the opposition - you guys have screwed up royally and there is a price to pay. The opposition is clearly in disarray. Pakatan cannot trust PAS who betrayed them. But as long as PAS plays the third leg, you can bet for sure that BN is going to retake 2/3 majority in Parliament. After all, PAS is not in the elections to win. They love to be the advisor to UMNO. And then all Malaysians will be royally screwed. What can we do? Here's the two realistic solutions:
a) DAP and PKR has a change of heart and finally decide to reach a compromise with PAS. If it is Hudud, have a civilised discussion about what it is that PAS really wants, and provide a timeline on deliberation, discussion, debate, policy formation, even referendum etc. but make a commitment to address this issue if that's what it takes to bring PAS back to the fold.
b) If PAS is too far gone, then a decision needs to be made NOW for PKR to severe ties with PAS, and to go with Bersatu, Amanah and DAP. This new Pakatan plus must stop treating PAS with kid's gloves. All their actions need to be seen as Haram and supporting a corrupt PM. Constantly paint them in the same light as you would paint other BN parties in their dealings and relationship with UMNO. Goad the BN parties when they appear to compromise with UMNO over PAS. It is now BN that has the Hudud and sexist agenda.
I would rather go with this measure and if BN wins GE14, so be it, but the platform will have a more secularist nature and policies more aligned. If you think about it, during Dr M's era, the complaint was really just authoritarianism and corruption. Both can be fixed. When Najib decides to play with religious fire and breath a new life into Hudud, he is playing with power he cannot control - power that is feeding ISIS propaganda. If between now and GE14, Pakatan plus can turn over enough rural folks' minds, then all the better. By all means win GE14 and form the federal government. Not realistic, but shouldn't stop you from trying. In a way, because PKR has dithered for far too long, the initiative has been taken by Bersatu. With Bersatu in the fold, it is increasingly unrealistic to expect a reunion with PAS.
What then does the handshake between Dr M and Anwar mean? I hope it is a signal to PAS that PKR is giving up on PAS. It should force PAS to take a hard look at itself. Ideally, PAS should implode, and Tuan Ibrahim takes over Hadi Awang. Then a reconciliation with Pakatan is possible. Add Bersatu and suddenly the opposition looks remarkably omnipotent.
All these plans could be scuttled if the PM decides to call for early elections. Why not? DOJ hasn't escalated the civil suit to criminal proceedings at this juncture. He still has time. And he is riding high on Sarawak, and the twin by elections. Strike while the iron is hot and while the opposition is in disarray.
So in closing, there are still many moving parts. We shall see where the chip falls.